What’s all this stuff about personal computing moving online, people saying, keep your old computer, the internet is moving online and all you need is a browser.
First, for the coming 10 years, i don’t think the world can take an explosion in internet traffic, YouTube and similar video websites are killing speed on most ISPs, Peer To Peer much lesser harm but still burdening the wires, and oh, not to forget Binary Executable downloads and net installs of operating systems that happen with every virtual machine, Seriously, fiber optics will not save you if you want a complete install of Debian on every virtual machine you run.
To make things more interesting, People will not stop buying top notch computers, they love owning the greatest computers and will continue to do so, there graphics card is more important than there fridge, and astonishingly, they love to see it work, Don’t you just hate it when your computer goes to sleep for having nothing to do ?
People want there files on there hard drives, that will never change, they may want a copy at google or some other cloud empire, but they want the official latest copy on a hard drive in there computer.
This may not include everyone, but it is true for the most people i know, I am predicting against everyone else and i have a firm belief the common predictions of the future of personal computing are not realistic.
So, now i am the great psychologist, not really, but i have probed for long enough, and this is what i got
My Video requires a good processor to play, Online video is not how i like to see my favorite cartoons (And i doubt PIXAR would put it online), i want to see detail, i want to see what PIXAR wanted me to see and so do they.
So, if you are worried or hoping that the internet will become the PC, rest assured, this will not happen soon.
What about google docs and other stuff, they will exist, and probably expand, but they will never replace much of why you would buy a good PC that has multiple cores that can run your beloved Compize or AERO, people buy vista for that stuff, so they will keep buying good computers.